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DETAILED CREDIT DISCUSSION <br />SATISFACTORY LEGAL STRUCTURE; ESSENTIAL ASSETS PLEDGED AS <br />COLLATERAL <br />The certificates are secured by the county's pledge to annually appropriate lease <br />payments, sufficient to pay debt service, and collateral is provided by a security <br />interest in six county school buildings. The county will make payments under the <br />Installment Financing Contract directly to the Trustee five calendar days before <br />debt service is due. Total collateral available to bondholders, upon completion of <br />the project, in the event of non - appropriation is estimated at $85.7 million <br />creating a strong asset -to -loan ratio of approximately 104°/x. Moody's believes <br />the essential nature of the pledged assets mitigate the risk of non - appropriation. <br />Further mitigating the risk of non - appropriation, under terms of the lease, the <br />budget officer is required to include installment payments in each proposed <br />budget for the life of the certificates. The Board of Commissioners may delete the <br />appropriation only through an express resolution. If the county fails to make <br />installment payments, the Trustee can accelerate payments and may institute <br />foreclosure proceedings and apply the proceeds of the project sale to the <br />balance of payments due under the certificates. There is no debt service reserve <br />fund. <br />LONG TERM FINANCIAL FORECASTING AND FORMAL POLICIES SUPPORT <br />EXPECTATION OF CONTINUED SOLID FINANCIAL POSITION <br />Moody's expects the county will maintain a strong financial position given prudent <br />fiscal policies and long term financial planning. Over the last four years the <br />General Fund balance has approximated at least 25% of revenues. Key factors <br />driving the surpluses in fiscal 2009 ($3.7 million) and fiscal 2010 ($14.3 million) <br />were better - than - budgeted property taxes (reflecting strong growth in assessed <br />value), greater- than - budgeted sales taxes, and expenditure turnbacks due to <br />conservative budgeting practices and delayed projects. <br />The fiscal 2010 General Fund balance equaled $65.6 million (32.1% of <br />revenues), 26.6% of which was undesignated. Projections for fiscal 2011 indicate <br />a $3 million operating surplus. The fiscal 2012 budget includes a .25 cent sales <br />tax increase and across - the -board expenditure freezes. The budget is expected <br />to decrease by 8% primarily reflecting savings from the refunding. <br />LOSS OF MAJOR TAXPAYER IS EXPECTED TO PROLONG SLOWED <br />GROWTH IN CHARLOTTE MSA TAXBASE; MEDIUM TERM PROSPECTS <br />FACTOR TOURISM ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT OF RESEARCH PARK <br />Moody's believes the county's taxbase growth will remain moderate given the <br />loss of Phillip Morris, the county's largest taxpayer, and the national economic <br />downturn. Favorably, the county is home to Lowe's Motor Speedway, which <br />Attachment number 3 <br />1 -1 Page 355 <br />