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The time has come for American scientists, leaders in industry and government, and people in <br />general to understand that the problem of ozone pollution can not be managed by continuing to <br />believe that the people in metropolitan areas like Atlanta, Chicago, New York, and other urban <br />and regional ozone non-attainment areas can "solve the problem" of urban smog and regional <br />ozone exposures without understanding the regionality and the seasonality of both the ozone <br />problem itself and the regionality and seasonality of the management approaches that must be <br />used if the nation is to learn how to manage ozone and other oxidants at reasonable cost. <br />This deficiency in understanding of the regionality and seasonality of the ozone problem was one <br />of the most important points made in the NRC report and in Russell's "Hard Choices" paper. <br />But these same deficiencies were driven home even more forcefully in November 1994, when 26 <br />of the 29 states that were required to submit a State Implementation Plan for Ozone were unable <br />to make an attainment demonstration following available guidelines. <br />As a result: <br />-Mary Nichols issued her now-famous "Memo of March 2, 1995," <br />-The Environmental Commissioners of States (EGOS) joined together with EPA in creating <br />the Ozone Transport Assessment Group (OTAG) involving more than 30 states east and some <br />west of the Mississippi River, and <br />-The Federal Advisory Committee Act Subcommittee on Ozone, Fine Particulate Matter, and <br />Regional Haze Implementation was created to look at at least three of the five or six air-pollution <br />problems that are related to the general oxidative capacity of the atmosphere (the other problems <br />being acidification of soils and surface and ground waters, nitrogen saturation of forest soils, and <br />airborne-nitrogen-induced eutrophication of surface waters). <br />But even these more recent initiatives are driven by unrealistically short-term regulatory <br />deadlines, and, frequently, by incomplete scientific perceptions and policy assumptions. <br />Examples include: <br />-Use of specific exceptional ozone episodes rather than by both episodic and season-long <br />ozone time periods of interest, <br />-Use of local and regional emissions inventories for natural and anthropogenic emissions that <br />aze of uneven quality for both rural and urban/suburban sources of ozone precursors, <br />-Use of emissions-based mathematical models rather than both emissions-based and <br />observation-based air quality models, and <br />-Use of models that may "get the ozone peaks right" but are not skillful enough to "get the <br />peaks, and the low ozone concentrations, and the natural and anthropogenic ozone precursors <br />right" at the same time. <br />As CASAC makes its decisions about the closure letter that must now be written about the <br />secondary standard for ozone, I hope all committee members will think very carefully about the <br />nature, quality, pace, and intensity of research interactions that will occur as the result of the two <br />choices you will help make today: <br /> <br />C-9 <br />