AG 2001 05 21 - Laserfiche WebLink

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Table 1 - Population and Housing Estimates for Planning Area Year Population Housing Units 1990 7,357 2,746 1999 11,591 4,325 Using the average growth rate for the past 10 years some generalized population projections can be made. Table 2 below presents the population projections to 2015. Table 2 - Population Pro ections for Planning Area Year Population 2000 12,263 2005 15,819 2010 20,407 2015 26,325 Several assumptions are made to arrive at the projections in Table 2. First, it assumes that the growth will occur at a constant rate. Second, it assumes that the economy will continue to support the current growth rate to 2015. Finally, it assumes thai the necessary public services will be in place to continue to support the projected rate of growth. These are very general assumptions, as such the projections in Table 2 should be used cautiously as future population may be greater than or less than these projections if the underlying assumptions change. In the next 2 to 5 years the Town of Harrisburg and surrounding area may exhibit a much greater demand for housing and commercial growth than estimated in Table 2, due to some upcoming transportation and non-residential development projects. Two major projects that will likely have the greatest impact are the opening of I485 outer-loop intemhanges at Highway 49, Rocky River Road, and Robinson Church Road and the additional development that will occur around the Concord Mills Mall project (King's Grant Area) at 1-85 and Speedway Boulevard. In addition, the spill-over of growth into Harrisburg from the area surrounding the University of North Carolina at Charlotte should continue as the University City area begins to run out of land resources. As this occurs the rate of spill-over should increase. Map 4 shows several factors that will influence growth in the Harrisburg planning area. The major driving fome for the planning area's growth is its proximity to Charlotte-Mecklenburg and the University City community. As land in the University City community has become more expensive and scarce, builders have looked to Cabarms County for land to build subdivisions. Table 3 shows the projected future population growth for areas adjacent to the planning area and further illustrates the potential for future population growth in the Harrisburg area. Table 3 - Population Projections for the Surrounding Area Year Pianning.~rea North'east District Poplar T~t Cabarrus (Mecklenburg Co.) Township County 1990 7,357 47,576 11,108 98,935 2000 12,263 ~' 67,379 22,504 134,057 2005 15,819 80,337 33,756 155,264 2010 20,407 97,331 45,571 184,792 1990 Census of Populations and Housing, Cabarms County Planning Services, Charlotte-Mecklenburg Planning Commission