AG 1996 03 19 - Laserfiche WebLink

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Estimates are for the end of the year specified. This is what constant growth at these rates would look mike: i ' 114525 ' 128953! Population increasincj at 2.5% I 98935i 104799 107943'1 111184i 117969, 121519! 125179' 132843 >lus natural increase: ' 331'. 4951 511 529! 548 5671 587i 607~ 628i 650 673 totalpopestimate: , 99266. 1022431 1053]0[ 108472i 111731' 1150911 118555~ 122126~ 1258081 1296031 133516 Population increasing at 3% ] 1~ 98935 102244! 105821! 109522 113353 117318 121421 [ 1256681 130063 1346121 139321 ,lus natural increase: i ' 331 495! 5111 529 548 567 587! 6071 628 650I 673 total pop estimate: ! 99266 102739 106332' 110052 ] 113901 ~ 117885 122008 126275' 1306921 135263 ! 139994 ; i ! ~ 22416 1990 census pop= 98935' 100334' 102735; 105088! 107693' 111843 1153491 118910' 125921 '. 129427 nat increase .005 : i . , o l 331 495 511' 5291 548' 5671 5871 607! 6281 650 673 Natural inc. + existin9 ; ,' 99266 100829; 103246,. 105617~ 108241 I 1124101 1159361 119517' 123044l 1265711, 130100 plus new by new dus x2.32 13991 2401' 2352i 2605: 41501 35061 3561i 3506' 3506L 3506: :~06 Total of all sources: 100334 102735 105088 107693 111843 115349 118910 122416 125921 129427 132932 new residential permits ! ': 603 1035 10141 11231 1789[ 1511 1511 1511[ 1511 15111 1511 occupied units in 12-1990 37515 38088 39071 400341 41101 42801 ] 44236 45672 47107i 48~)~3 49978j end of year du total: ~ r, [ I i ' children perdu 0.60! 22853 234431 24021 24661l 256801 26542 2~031- 282641 29126i 29987[ ':~6848 school are ch~ildren bydu ' 0.43] 163021 167221 17135! 17591i 18319; 18933 1954~[ 20162 ' 207~6i ' 21391i 2200~ >rivate school, etc. i i 12001 12001 1200; 1200i 1200~ 1200 ' 12uuI 1200 ~20~ 1200~ i'200 ,ublic school age children f , 15102! 155221 15935' 16391i 171191 17733' 18347 189621 19576 20191i Enrollment in Cabarrus Jan 4, 1996 : ' ,; , [ ,i 15673 i TAKING OUT THE NATURAL INCREASE FROM EXISTING POPULATIONS AND REDUCING NEW UNITS TO 95% OCCUPIED. NOTES: The above estimate is based upon private enrollment of ! 200 per year as a constant number. ~ 278 i . There is a good probability that this number will actually increase over time. ~ ~ 0.16 i I The number of building permits from 1995 to 2000 is constant at a rate of 1511 per year. [ ! The expected cycle of construction indicates that i 996 will be a "flat" year and that an increase will occur after 1996. I~' , '- Therefore, more building permits are to be expected than what is indicated above. The above is a conservative estimate. ! The number of demolitions per year is miniscule, only 1 to 4 per year. [ i I i The estimate is based upon ratios indicated by the 1990 census. We suspect that these ratios are changing. ! J ! · Until the next census we have no way of knowing how the ratios are adjusting. One suspected change is an increase of number of children ! in the western portion of the county, and younger parents in these families. [ ] / I i ........... Prepared by Planning Division 2000MIN.XLS mcod/2-21-96