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October 17, 2011 (Regular Meeting) <br />Page 768 <br />76 100.00 <br />Then classify all parcels for the area into groups of a like interval used <br />with the sale parcels. For example: <br />TABLE OF ACTUAL FREQUENCIES <br />FOR SALE PARCELS <br />AGE (in years) <br />FREQUENCY <br />PERCENT OF <br />INTERVAL <br />IN NUMBER <br />TOTAL <br />1 - 5 <br />128 <br />12.2 <br />6 -10 <br />234 <br />22.4 <br />11 -15 <br />355 <br />33.9 <br />16 -20 <br />139 <br />13.3 <br />21 -25 <br />87 <br />8.3 <br />26 -30 <br />104 <br />9.9 <br />1,047 100.00 <br />The question we really want to ask is are the two distributions the same (in <br />the sense that the distribution of parcels by age makes them equal for <br />purposes of judging similarities) or are the distributions different. To <br />answer this, we must consider the element of chance. It is possible that the <br />sales are distributed like the total area but show difference in cell <br />frequencies due to chance alone, for as you may observe, the percentages of <br />the total by age are indeed different. <br />We would expect the sales to be distributed in like frequencies as the total <br />area was distributed unless the sales do not represent the area under study. <br />The use of a very handy tool, the statistic known as the CHI - SQUARE (X <br />test, is worth learning. It is useful in that it does not require that one <br />have normally distributed data to be valid; hence it is non parametric. It <br />is used by taking an expected frequency and comparing it to the actual or <br />observed frequency. In our case, it is the area parameters projected upon <br />the sales data. <br />We would expect the number of sale parcels per age group to be the same as <br />the frequencies observed for the total of all parcels in the hypothetical <br />area under consideration. Therefore, we use the percentages for the total to <br />generate the expected number of sales for each age interval. <br />The CHI - SQUARE statistic expressed as a formula is: <br />X2 =E [(fo- fe)2 /fe] <br />where fo = frequency observed <br />fe = frequency expected <br />Example: <br />The actual number of sales in each interval is set down. One then subtracts <br />the estimated number from the observed number of sales, interval by interval, <br />squaring the result and dividing by the expected number. <br />Example: <br />GROUP <br />OBSERVED <br />EXPECTED NUMBER <br />PERCENT OF <br />TOTAL <br />OF SALES IN <br />TOTAL PARCEL x <br />SALES <br />= EACH INTERVAL <br />12.2 <br />76 <br />9.3 <br />22.4 <br />76 <br />17.0 <br />33.9 <br />76 <br />25.8 <br />13.3 <br />76 <br />10.1 <br />8.3 <br />76 <br />6.3 <br />9.9 <br />76 <br />7.5 <br />100.00 <br />77.44 <br />76. <br />The actual number of sales in each interval is set down. One then subtracts <br />the estimated number from the observed number of sales, interval by interval, <br />squaring the result and dividing by the expected number. <br />Example: <br />GROUP <br />OBSERVED <br />EXPECTED <br />OBSERVED <br />SQUARED <br />DIVIDED BY <br />FREQUENCY <br />FREQUENCY <br />MINUS EXPECTED <br />RESULT <br />EXPECTED <br />1 <br />10 <br />09.3 <br />0.70 <br />00.49 <br />0.053 <br />2 <br />22 <br />17.0 <br />5.00 <br />25.00 <br />1.471 <br />3 <br />17 <br />25.8 <br />8.80 <br />77.44 <br />3.002 <br />