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Summary of Inmate Population Projections History: The Jaii Facilities Study completed in May 2002 utilized historical data, which could be confirmed and documented at the time, from the years 1996-2000 to develop the (then) average inmate population projections and corresponding bed requirements for the years 2000-2020. At that time, the baseline projection of the average daily population (ADP) of the Jail for the year 2020 was 263.45 inmates. (Nate that this was ADP not beds yet), However, this number and the corresponding projections for subsequent years were found to be noticeably lower than other North Carolina counties of comparable size. it was determined upon examination of various Sheriff's Department admissions, release, and monthly confinement records (ref, page 15; 2002 study) that a Superior Couri Order; often referred to as the ^Cap Letter"; had artificially lowered what would have been the typical ADP of the Jail by enabling the Sheriff to transfer State held inmates to the Prison System; i.e. out of the County Jail; sooner than statutorily required to do so. As a result, the difference at the time was significant; appreximately 19 percent. Subsequently, the projected ADP of 263.45 inmates for the year 2020 was (and had to be) revised accordingly; 263.45 x 1.19, or 313.5 inmates. Then, calculating and applying the Inmate Management Factor (15.8%) to this ADP number resulted in an average daily requirement for 2020 of: 313.5 x 1.158, or 363 beds. Updated Projections: Following their selection to design the Jai! (2003), Ware 8onsall Architects were asked to update the previous study's projections as part of their scope of services. County population, inmate ADP, and annual arrest data for the years 2001, 2002 and 2003 was added to the previous 1996-2000 historical profile. Projections were recalculated based on the addition of these most recent three year's data and projections were recalculated; and extended to the year 2030. These results were presented to the Board of County Commissioners at their scheduled "recessed meeting" of February 23, 2004. Those results indicated the following: • The 7aii ADP for 2030 was projected to be 520.14 inmates per day. • The corresponding average daily bed requirements, calculated in the same manner as the original study, were determined to be 591 beds. The basis for suggesting and subsequently designing to this higher number included several considerations: • Projections this time were extended to the year 2030 vs. the original recommendations for 2020; the County's general population increase for that period had been recalculated (and increased over previous projections) by the State OSBM following release in 2001 of the US Census results, • Total County arrests, as recorded by the State Bureau of Investigation for the years 2001- 2003, had increased had increased 20-22% over the previous five year period (1996-2000} upon which the original projections were based. • Perhaps most significant was the lairs experienced increase in average daily population (ADP) for the years 2002 (187 inmates) and 2003 (213 inmates); increases of 20% and 37% respectively! • These were very significant numbers. Notably, they have remained consistent during 2004 and 2005 as well. As of this afternoon (October 19th) the Jail's population has reportedly G ~ ~1