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equivalent to a W 126 of 13 ppm-hrs. Note that these W 1261evels -based on NCLAN data <br />collected in the 1980s -are 84 to 87% of their "equivalent" SUM06 levels, respectively. <br />An alternative indication of "equivalency" is displayed in the Figure 7-4 scatter plot on page <br />7-29 of the Staff Paper. Based on much more recent ozone measurement data from 2001, the <br />2 indices are very highly correlated across all monitoring locations (RZ=0.98) but the current <br />slope is more like 0.75 (not 0.85). As shown in the box at lower left of this figure, a SUM06 <br />of 25 ppm-hrs is - in recent years - "equivalent" to a W 126 of 19 (not 21) ppm hrs. A reason <br />for the differences in khese calculations of equivalency may very well be a large (downward <br />and broadening) shift in the distribution of ozone concentrations since the 1980s when the <br />NCLAN studies were conducted. This shift in the relationship between ozone indices over <br />time further emphasizes on the importance of establishing a separate secondary standazd, and <br />cautions against concluding that the relationship between primary and secondary standard <br />metrics will remain constant in the future. <br />Thus if an upper SUM06 bound of 25 ppm-hrs is intended, the equivalent W 126, based on the <br />current US distribution ofmid-summer ozone concentrations would be 19 ppm-hrs. If a multi- <br />year form is being considered, this upper end of 19 ppm-hrs should be further reduced to assure <br />it isn't substantially exceeded in individual years. If accommodations were also made to account <br />for effects during hours of day or months of growing seasons which are not considered by the <br />current proposal, then the upper bound level of the secondary W 126 standard range could very <br />well be adjusted downward from 19 toward 15 ppm-hrs -the approximate equivalent of the 20 <br />ppm-hrs. upper bound SUM06 recommended in the last CASAC review. <br />G. ~ ~',{. <br />C-27 <br />