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Section 2 Local Waste Reduction Goals building construction and subsequent increase in C&D disposal (993 tons in FY 1996- 97 vs. 19,236 tons in FY 1998-99). Another product of a strong economy is an increase in manufacturing output, which will inevitably result in an increase in commercial waste generation and disposal. Although the sudden increase in the per capita disposal rate was unforeseen, the original constraints to waste reduction referenced above are still valid. The consensus among the plan participants is that this unusually high per capita disposal rate will somewhat diminish over time and that the 5% reduction goal is still obtainable. Assuming that the per capita disposal rate of 1.14 is the worst case scenario, a 5% reduction would lower the rate to 1.08. Based on this worst case rate, the targeted waste reduction for FY 2000-01, 2005-06, and 2009-10 would be as shown below in Table 7: Table 7. Targeted Waste Reduction, FY 2000-01, 2005-06 and 2009-10 CALCULATIONS FY 2000-01 FY 2005-06 FY 2009-10 FY 2000-01 per capita disposal rate 1.14 1.14 1.14 Targeted per capita disposal rate 1.08 1.08 1.08 Population projections 123,404 133,933 144,126 Projected tonnages at FY 2000-01 140,681 152,683 164,304 disposal rate Projected tonnages at goal disposal 133,276 144,647 155,656 rate Targeted annual tonnage reductions 7,405 8,036 8,648 (line 4 - line 5) The method for achieving a 5% reduction in the per capita waste disposal rate relies on the continuation and expansion of recyclable materials collection. Essential success factors include public participation and outreach programs aimed at educating both the public and private sectors. AX 2-3